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Democracy as a cause of semi-presidential regimes: On reverse causality between democracy and semi-presidential establishment
Dalarna University, Falun, Sweden.
Örebro University, School of Humanities, Education and Social Sciences.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-3849-7660
2024 (English)In: International Political Science Review, ISSN 0192-5121, E-ISSN 1460-373XArticle in journal (Refereed) Epub ahead of print
Abstract [en]

This article re-examines the relationship between democracy and semi-presidential regimes. While numerous scholars have traced the effects of semi-presidential regimes on democracy, few have addressed the risk of reverse causality, namely, that democracy influences the establishment of semi-presidential regimes. This article uses statistical analyses to test whether the level of democracy in a country affects its choice of semi-presidential regime subtype: a premier-presidential or a president-parliamentary. Including all semi-presidential regimes from 1919 until 2015 and controlling for other conditions such as colonial legacy, the level of development and regime diffusion, our results confirm the hypothesis. The higher the level of democracy - the higher the probability of a premier-presidential regime. Our results underline that democracy is a highly influential cause of the type of semi-presidential regime chosen, a conclusion that places a question mark on the self-evident use of the semi-presidential subtypes as an independent variable.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Sage Publications, 2024.
Keywords [en]
Semi-presidential regime, premier-presidential regime, president-parliamentary regime, uncertainty, constitutional choice, democracy, democratization
National Category
Political Science
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-117285DOI: 10.1177/01925121241281943ISI: 001345195000001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85207799486OAI: oai:DiVA.org:oru-117285DiVA, id: diva2:1912047
Available from: 2024-11-11 Created: 2024-11-11 Last updated: 2025-01-20Bibliographically approved

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Denk, Thomas

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