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Size matters: The width and location of a ureteral stone accurately predict the chance of spontaneous passage
Örebro University, School of Medical Sciences. Department of Radiology.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-8949-119X
Örebro University, School of Medical Sciences. Department of Radiology.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-3253-8967
Örebro University, School of Medical Sciences. Örebro University Hospital. Department of Radiology.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0137-9991
Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine and Health, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden.
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2017 (English)In: European Radiology, ISSN 0938-7994, E-ISSN 1432-1084, Vol. 27, no 11, p. 4775-4785Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

OBJECTIVES: To determine how to most accurately predict the chance of spontaneous passage of a ureteral stone using information in the diagnostic non-enhanced computed tomography (NECT) and to create predictive models with smaller stone size intervals than previously possible.

METHODS: Retrospectively 392 consecutive patients with ureteric stone on NECT were included. Three radiologists independently measured the stone size. Stone location, side, hydronephrosis, CRP, medical expulsion therapy (MET) and all follow-up radiology until stone expulsion or 26 weeks were recorded. Logistic regressions were performed with spontaneous stone passage in 4 weeks and 20 weeks as the dependent variable.

RESULTS: The spontaneous passage rate in 20 weeks was 312 out of 392 stones, 98% in 0-2 mm, 98% in 3 mm, 81% in 4 mm, 65% in 5 mm, 33% in 6 mm and 9% in ≥6.5 mm wide stones. The stone size and location predicted spontaneous ureteric stone passage. The side and the grade of hydronephrosis only predicted stone passage in specific subgroups.

CONCLUSION: Spontaneous passage of a ureteral stone can be predicted with high accuracy with the information available in the NECT. We present a prediction method based on stone size and location.

KEY POINTS: • Non-enhanced computed tomography can predict the outcome of ureteral stones. • Stone size and location are the most important predictors of spontaneous passage. • Prediction models based on stone width or length and stone location are introduced. • The observed passage rates for stone size in mm-intervals are reported. • Clinicians can make better decisions about treatment.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer, 2017. Vol. 27, no 11, p. 4775-4785
Keywords [en]
Spiral computed tomography; Ureteral calculi; Kidney stone; Ureter; Renal colic
National Category
Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and Medical Imaging
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-61961DOI: 10.1007/s00330-017-4852-6ISI: 000412820500037PubMedID: 28593428Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85020305726OAI: oai:DiVA.org:oru-61961DiVA, id: diva2:1152896
Note

Funding Agency:

Research Committee of Region Örebro County

Available from: 2017-10-26 Created: 2017-10-26 Last updated: 2024-01-16Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Non-enhanced single-energy computed tomography of urinary stones
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Non-enhanced single-energy computed tomography of urinary stones
2021 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Computed tomography (CT) is the mainstay imaging method for urinary stones.

The aim of this thesis was to optimize the information obtained from the initial CT scan to allow a well-founded diagnosis and prognosis, and to guide the clinician as early and as far as possible in the further treatment of urinary stone disease.

We examined CT scan parameters with regards to their importance for prediction of spontaneous ureteral stone passage, the impact of interreader variability of stone size estimates on this prediction, and the predictive accuracy of a semi-automated, three-dimensional (3D) segmentation algorithm. We also developed and tested the ability of a machine learning algorithm to classify pelvic calcifications into ureteral stones and phleboliths.

Using single-energy CT, three quantitative methods for classification of stone composition into uric acid and non-uric acid stones in vivo were prospectively validated, using dual-energy CT as reference.

Our results show that spontaneous ureteral stone passage can be predicted with high accuracy, with knowledge of stone size and position. The interreader variability in the size estimation has a large impact on the predicted outcome, but can be eliminated through a 3D segmentation algorithm. Which size estimate we use is of minor importance, but it is important that we use the chosen estimate consistently. A machine learning algorithm can differentiate distal ureteral stones from phleboliths, but more than local features are needed to reach optimal discrimination.

A single-energy CT method can distinguish uric acid from non-uric acid stones in vivo with accuracy comparable to dual-energy CT.

In conclusion, single-energy CT not only detects a urinary stone, but can also provide us with a prediction regarding spontaneous stone passage and a classification of stone type into uric acid and non-uric acid.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Örebro: Örebro University, 2021. p. 85
Series
Örebro Studies in Medicine, ISSN 1652-4063 ; 229
Keywords
Diagnostic, CT, urinary stone, kidney stone, urolithiasis, phlebolith, uric acid, spontaneous passage, CNN, artificial intelligence
National Category
Surgery
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-86874 (URN)978-91-7529-368-4 (ISBN)
Public defence
2021-02-05, Örebro universitet, Campus USÖ, hörsal C3, Södra Grev Rosengatan 32, Örebro, 09:00 (Swedish)
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Supervisors
Available from: 2020-10-28 Created: 2020-10-28 Last updated: 2021-01-14Bibliographically approved

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Jendeberg, JohanGeijer, HåkanAlshamari, MuhammedLidén, Mats

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