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Promises, policies and pocketbook voting
Department of Economics, Uppsala University, Sweden; The Research Institute of Industrial Economics (IFN), Sweden.
The Research Institute of Industrial Economics (IFN), Sweden; IZA, Germany.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-8857-6116
IZA, Germany; Department of Economics, University of Munich, Germany; Ifo Institute, Munich, Germany; CESifo, Germany.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2070-784X
2015 (English)In: European Economic Review, ISSN 0014-2921, E-ISSN 1873-572X, Vol. 75, p. 177-194Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Do voters respond to political parties' promises or to their past actions? We use a suitable sequence of events in Swedish politics to provide the first answer to this question. In the 1994 election campaign the Social Democrats proposed major cuts in transfers to parents with young children, whereas in the 1998 campaign they promised to increase transfers. The Social Democrats won both elections and delivered on both promises. Using voting among parents with slightly older children as counterfactual, we find that voters with young children responded markedly to economic promises rather than to implemented policies.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2015. Vol. 75, p. 177-194
Keywords [en]
Economic voting, Election promises, Pocketbook voting, Prospective voting, Retrospective voting
National Category
Economics and Business
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-72651DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2015.01.010ISI: 000352038000010Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-84924985648OAI: oai:DiVA.org:oru-72651DiVA, id: diva2:1290838
Funder
The Jan Wallander and Tom Hedelius Foundation, P2007-0018:1 P2007-0130:1Available from: 2019-02-21 Created: 2019-02-21 Last updated: 2019-02-21Bibliographically approved

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Jordahl, Henrik

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  • Other style
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  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
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Output format
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  • asciidoc
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