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Forecast Model of the Price of a Product with a Cold Start
Örebro University, Örebro University School of Business. School of Business, Department of Statistics, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden; Faculty of Informatics, Department of Mathematics, National University of Kyiv-Mohyla Academy, Kyiv, Ukraine.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-5576-3756
Örebro University, Örebro University School of Business. School of Business, Department of Statistics, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden; Faculty of Informatics, Department of Mathematics, National University of Kyiv-Mohyla Academy, Kyiv, Ukraine.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-7652-8157
2024 (English)In: Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance, MAF2024: Conference proceedings / [ed] Marco Corazza; Frédéric Gannon; Florence Legros; Claudio Pizzi; Vincent Touzé, Springer, 2024, p. 154-159Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

This article presents a comprehensive study on developing a predictive product pricing model using LightGBM, a machine learning method optimized for regression challenges in situations with limited historical data. It begins by detailing the core principles of LightGBM, including gradient descent, and then delves into the method's unique features like Gradient-based One-Side Sampling (GOSS) and Exclusive Feature Bundling (EFB). The model's efficacy is demonstrated through a comparative analysis with XGBoost, highlighting Light-GBM's enhanced efficiency and slight improvement in prediction accuracy. This research offers valuable insights into the application of LightGBM in developing fast and accurate product pricing models, crucial for businesses in the rapidly evolving data landscape.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer, 2024. p. 154-159
Keywords [en]
GBM, GBDT, LightGBM, GOSS, EFB, predictive model
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-116499DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-64273-9_26ISI: 001299654100026ISBN: 9783031642753 (print)ISBN: 9783031642739 (electronic)ISBN: 9783031642722 (print)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:oru-116499DiVA, id: diva2:1904419
Conference
International Conference of the Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance (MAF 2024), Le Havre, France, April 4-6, 2024
Funder
Knowledge Foundation, 20220099; 20220115Available from: 2024-10-09 Created: 2024-10-09 Last updated: 2024-10-09Bibliographically approved

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Drin, SvitlanaShchestyuk, Nataliya

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