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Volatilities, drifts and the relation between treasury yields and the corporate bond yield spread in Australia
Örebro University, Örebro University School of Business.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0203-4688
Örebro University, Örebro University School of Business.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4840-7649
2018 (English)In: Finance Research Letters, ISSN 1544-6123, E-ISSN 1544-6131Article in journal (Refereed) Epub ahead of print
Abstract [en]

We estimate Bayesian VAR models in order to investigate the relation between Treasury yields and the corporate bond yield spread in Australia. Recent developments in Bayesian model selection allow us to formally assess the relevance of stochastic volatility and drifting parameters. A model comparison indicates that a model with stochastic volatility and constant parameters is preferred. Our results imply that while previous studies may have relied on empirically flawed models, their main conclusion – namely that an increase in the risk free rate decreases the corporate bond yield spread – appears to be an empirically robust finding.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2018.
Keywords [en]
Bayesian vector autoregressions, Credit spreads
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-70391DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2018.11.003OAI: oai:DiVA.org:oru-70391DiVA, id: diva2:1267061
Available from: 2018-11-30 Created: 2018-11-30 Last updated: 2019-02-12Bibliographically approved

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Karlsson, SuneÖsterholm, Pär

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