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Survey data and short-term forecasts of Swedish GDP growth
National Institute of Economic Research, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4840-7649
2014 (English)In: Applied Economics Letters, ISSN 1350-4851, E-ISSN 1466-4291, Vol. 21, no 2, p. 135-139Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In this article, we evaluate forecasting models for Swedish GDP growth which make use of data from Sweden’s most important business survey, the Economic Tendency Survey. Employing nine years of quarterly real-time data, we conduct an out-of-sample forecast exercise. Results indicate that the survey data have informational value that can be used to improve forecasts, thereby confirming the empirical relevance of survey data for GDP forecasters.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Routledge, 2014. Vol. 21, no 2, p. 135-139
Keywords [en]
out-of-sample forecasts, real-time data
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-75890DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2013.844317ISI: 000325601500014Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-84885933378OAI: oai:DiVA.org:oru-75890DiVA, id: diva2:1345489
Available from: 2019-08-25 Created: 2019-08-25 Last updated: 2019-10-25Bibliographically approved

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Österholm, Pär

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