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Credit spread and employment growth - a time-varying relationship?
Örebro University, Örebro University School of Business.
2021 (English)In: Applied Economics Letters, ISSN 1350-4851, E-ISSN 1466-4291, Vol. 28, no 1, p. 23-31Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In this article, I explore time variation in the relationship between the credit spread and employment growth. Using a Bayesian VAR framework and formal model selection, it is concluded that the relationship is best modelled with constant parameters, but that heteroscedasticity needs to be taken into account. An interesting change in the dynamics is uncovered, where volatility in employment shocks induces more of the dynamics earlier in the sample and the role of volatility in credit-spread shocks is more pronounced in the latter parts.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Routledge, 2021. Vol. 28, no 1, p. 23-31
Keywords [en]
Bayesian VAR, time-varying parameters, stochastic volatility, macrofinance
National Category
Economics and Business
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-80244DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2020.1725416ISI: 000513479600001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85079375305OAI: oai:DiVA.org:oru-80244DiVA, id: diva2:1404748
Available from: 2020-02-28 Created: 2020-02-28 Last updated: 2023-12-08Bibliographically approved

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Nordström, Martin

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