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Choosing Opponents in Skiing Sprint Elimination Tournaments
Örebro University, Örebro University School of Business.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-0445-5403
Örebro University, Örebro University School of Business.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1746-7884
2020 (English)Report (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

In this study we analyse data from world cup cross-country skiing sprint elimination tournaments for men and women in 2015-2020. Instead of being assigned a quarter final according to a seeding scheme, prequalified athletes choose themselves in sequential order in which of five quarterfinals to compete. Due to a time constrainton the day the competition is held, the recovery time between the knockout heats varies. This implies a clear advantage for the athlete to race in an early rather than in a late quarterfinal to maximize her probability of reaching the podium. The purpose of the paper is to analyse the athletes’ choices facing the trade-off between recovery time and expected degree of competition when choosing in which quarterfinal to compete. We find empirical support for the prediction that higher ranked athletes from the qualification round prefer to compete in early quarterfinals, despite facing expected harder competition. Nevertheless, our results also suggest that athletes underestimate the value of choosing an early quarterfinal. In addition, we propose a seeding scheme capturing the fundamental disparity across quarterfinals using the estimates from a logistic regression model. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Örebro: Örebro University School of Business , 2020. , p. 29
Series
Working Papers, School of Business, ISSN 1403-0586 ; 2020:6
Keywords [en]
Choosing opponent, sequential choice, seeeding, skiing sprint
National Category
Economics Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-88957OAI: oai:DiVA.org:oru-88957DiVA, id: diva2:1522479
Available from: 2021-01-26 Created: 2021-01-26 Last updated: 2021-02-02Bibliographically approved

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Working paper 2020:6

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Karlsson, NiklasLunander, Anders

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CiteExportLink to record
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Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
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Language
  • de-DE
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  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
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  • asciidoc
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