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Trends and factors related to adolescent pregnancies: an incidence trend and conditional inference trees analysis of northern Nicaragua demographic surveillance data
Department of Women's and Children's Health, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden; Institute of Nutrition of Central America and Panama (INCAP), Guatemala, Guatemala.
Department of Women's and Children's Health, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.
Asociación para el Desarrollo Económico y Sostenible de El Espino (APRODESE), Chinandega, Nicaragua; Nicaraguan Autonomous National University, León (UNAN-León), León, Nicaragua.
Department of Women's and Children's Health, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden; Pan American Health Organization, Tegucigalpa, Honduras.
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2021 (English)In: BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth, ISSN 1471-2393, E-ISSN 1471-2393, Vol. 21, no 1, article id 749Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

BACKGROUND: We aimed to identify the 2001-2013 incidence trend, and characteristics associated with adolescent pregnancies reported by 20-24-year-old women.

METHODS: A retrospective analysis of the Cuatro Santos Northern Nicaragua Health and Demographic Surveillance 2004-2014 data on women aged 15-19 and 20-24. To calculate adolescent birth and pregnancy rates, we used the first live birth at ages 10-14 and 15-19 years reported by women aged 15-19 and 20-24 years, respectively, along with estimates of annual incidence rates reported by women aged 20-24 years. We conducted conditional inference tree analyses using 52 variables to identify characteristics associated with adolescent pregnancies.

RESULTS: The number of first live births reported by women aged 20-24 years was 361 during the study period. Adolescent pregnancies and live births decreased from 2004 to 2009 and thereafter increased up to 2014. The adolescent pregnancy incidence (persons-years) trend dropped from 2001 (75.1 per 1000) to 2007 (27.2 per 1000), followed by a steep upward trend from 2007 to 2008 (19.1 per 1000) that increased in 2013 (26.5 per 1000). Associated factors with adolescent pregnancy were living in low-education households, where most adults in the household were working, and high proportion of adolescent pregnancies in the local community. Wealth was not linked to teenage pregnancies.

CONCLUSIONS: Interventions to prevent adolescent pregnancy are imperative and must bear into account the context that influences the culture of early motherhood and lead to socioeconomic and health gains in resource-poor settings.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
BioMed Central, 2021. Vol. 21, no 1, article id 749
Keywords [en]
Adolescent birth rate, Adolescent pregnancies, Adolescent pregnancy rate, Conditional inference trees, Data mining, Incidence trend, Predictors
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Public Health, Global Health and Social Medicine
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URN: urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-95329DOI: 10.1186/s12884-021-04215-4ISI: 000714918500004PubMedID: 34740316Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85118731182OAI: oai:DiVA.org:oru-95329DiVA, id: diva2:1609246
Funder
Swedish Research Council, 2014-2161Available from: 2021-11-08 Created: 2021-11-08 Last updated: 2025-02-20Bibliographically approved

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Källestål, Carina

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