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Risk of severe COVID-19 and mortality in patients with established chronic liver disease: a nationwide matched cohort study
Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston MA, USA; Harvard Medical School, Boston MA, USA; Clinical and Translational Epidemiology Unit (CTEU), Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston MA, USA.
Division of Hepatology, Department of Upper GI Diseases, Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden; Clinical Epidemiology Unit, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Center for Liver Disease and Transplantation, Division of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York NY, USA; Department of Medicine, Columbia University College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York NY, USA.
Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
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2021 (English)In: BMC Gastroenterology, E-ISSN 1471-230X, Vol. 21, no 1, article id 439Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Background and aims: Some, but not all, prior studies have suggested that patients with chronic liver disease are at increased risk of contracting COVID-19 and developing more severe disease. However, nationwide data are lacking from well-phenotyped cohorts with liver histology and comparisons to matched general population controls.

Methods: We conducted a nationwide cohort study of all Swedish adults with chronic liver disease (CLD) confirmed by liver biopsy between 1966 and 2017 (n = 42,320), who were alive on February 1, 2020. CLD cases were matched to <= 5 population comparators by age, sex, calendar year and county (n = 182,147). Using Cox regression, we estimated multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for COVID-19 hospitalization and severe COVID-19 (intensive care admission or death due to COVID-19).

Results: Between February 1 and July 31, 2020, 161 (0.38%) CLD patients and 435 (0.24%) general population controls were hospitalized with COVID-19 (aHR = 1.36, 95% CI = 1.11-1.66), while 65 (0.15%) CLD patients and 191 (0.10%) controls developed severe COVID-19 (aHR = 1.08, 95% CI = 0.79-1.48). Results were similar in patients with CLD due to alcohol use, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, viral hepatitis, autoimmune hepatitis, and other etiologies. Among patients with cirrhosis (n = 2549), the aHRs for COVID-19 hospitalization and for severe COVID-19 were 1.08 (95% CI 0.48-2.40) and 1.23 (95% CI = 0.37-4.04), respectively, compared to controls. Moreover, among all patients diagnosed with COVID-19, the presence of underlying CLD was not associated with increased mortality (aHR = 0.85, 95% CI = 0.61-1.19).

Conclusions: In this nationwide cohort, patients with CLD had a higher risk of hospitalization for COVID-19 compared to the general population, but they did not have an increased risk of developing severe COVID-19.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
BioMed Central, 2021. Vol. 21, no 1, article id 439
Keywords [en]
Corona virus, COVID, Liver disease, Cirrhosis, Survival
National Category
Gastroenterology and Hepatology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-95730DOI: 10.1186/s12876-021-02017-8ISI: 000721871600003PubMedID: 34814851Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85119854415OAI: oai:DiVA.org:oru-95730DiVA, id: diva2:1616620
Funder
The Karolinska Institutet's Research FoundationRegion Stockholm
Note

Funding agency:

United States Department of Health & Human Services

National Institutes of Health (NIH) - USA K23 DK122104

Available from: 2021-12-03 Created: 2021-12-03 Last updated: 2025-02-11Bibliographically approved

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Ludvigsson, Jonas F.

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