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Are payroll tax cuts absorbed by insiders? Evidence from the Swedish retail industry
Örebro University, Örebro University School of Business. Institute of Retail Economics, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-3180-3722
2023 (English)In: Applied Economics, ISSN 0003-6846, E-ISSN 1466-4283, Vol. 55, no 23, p. 2694-2708Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Payroll tax cuts are considered inefficient for increasing employment among outsiders because insiders will use their power to bargain for higher wages at the expense of outsiders' possibility of becoming employed. The extent to which insiders or outsiders reap the rewards of payroll tax cuts is a matter of debate, and previous literature has largely focused on the employment effects of outsiders. Using wage statistics of employees in the Swedish retail sector, we investigate the effects of a youth payroll tax cut in 2007 on insiders' wage earnings and the number of hours worked. In line with earlier studies, the results show that the payroll tax cut increased insiders' total wage earnings. However, only 21% of the increase in wage earnings resulted from higher bargained wages. 57% of the wage increase corresponds to a higher intensive margin of employment, and the rest was attributed to the number of hours worked by insiders with a higher hourly wage rate. Thus, there is little to suggest that insiders can absorb large amounts of payroll tax cuts in the form of higher bargained wages, even when a small number of workers hold the most bargaining power.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Routledge, 2023. Vol. 55, no 23, p. 2694-2708
Keywords [en]
Retail, labor market, wage, payroll tax, employment
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-100753DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2104802ISI: 000835260600001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85135235002OAI: oai:DiVA.org:oru-100753DiVA, id: diva2:1689805
Funder
Torsten Söderbergs stiftelseAvailable from: 2022-08-24 Created: 2022-08-24 Last updated: 2023-06-08Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Toward more inclusive labor markets: A firm-level perspective on hiring outsiders
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Toward more inclusive labor markets: A firm-level perspective on hiring outsiders
2023 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

This thesis contains five self-contained papers on firms’ hiring decisions regarding outsiders and how these decisions interact with insiders. Outsiders are broadly defined as people with a weak labor market position, e.g., unemployed, non-Western migrants or minimum-wage workers. Insiders are those who are securely employed.

In paper (1), we investigate what characterizes the firms that hire unemployed non-Western immigrants. The results show that firms active in the service industries are more likely to hire unemployed non-Western immigrants. However, this is a rare event, suggesting this sector is unlikely to ever be able to absorb more than a fraction of this outsider group under current labor market conditions.

In paper (2), we analyze whether labor cost reductions induce firms to hire outsiders in the retail industry. In this case, a Swedish youth payroll tax cut is used to determine if a reduction in firms’ labor costs increases their employment of minimum-wage retail workers. The results show that reduced labor costs incentivize firms to increase their employment of workers whose wages are close to negotiated minimum wages.

In paper (3), we investigate whether the gains from the abovementioned payroll tax cut have been absorbed in higher wages for insiders rather than increasing employment. The results show that while insiders saw their total earnings increase, the main reason for their earnings increase was that they worked more hours.

Finally, we explore whether firms’ hiring decisions regarding outsiders are related to their growth rate in papers (4) and (5). The results in paper (4) show that the fastest growing firms are more likely to hire outsiders. However, this finding does not hold when new firms are examined separately and over time. In contrast, the results in paper (5) indicate that high-growth new firms tend to recruit individuals with higher skills during their first three years of operation, suggesting that a firm’s time dimension and point in its lifecycle are important.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Örebro: Örebro universitet, 2023. p. 22
Series
Örebro Studies in Economics, ISSN 1651-8896 ; 47
Keywords
Labor costs, minimum wage, payroll tax, employment, immigrants, unemployment, high-growth firms
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-103017 (URN)9789175294902 (ISBN)
Public defence
2023-03-16, Örebro universitet, Forumhuset, Hörsal F, Fakultetsgatan 1, Örebro, 13:00 (Swedish)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2023-01-11 Created: 2023-01-11 Last updated: 2023-02-23Bibliographically approved

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