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High-dimensional conditionally Gaussian state space models with missing data
Purdue University, United States of America.
Örebro University, Örebro University School of Business.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-2587-8779
Monash University, Australia.
2023 (English)In: Journal of Econometrics, ISSN 0304-4076, E-ISSN 1872-6895, Vol. 236, no 1, article id 105468Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

We develop an efficient sampling approach for handling complex missing data patterns and a large number of missing observations in conditionally Gaussian state space models. Two important examples are dynamic factor models with unbalanced datasets and large Bayesian VARs with variables in multiple frequencies. A key observation underlying the proposed approach is that the joint distribution of the missing data conditional on the observed data is Gaussian. Furthermore, the inverse covariance or precision matrix of this conditional distribution is sparse, and this special structure can be exploited to substantially speed up computations. We illustrate the methodology using two empirical applications. The first application combines quarterly, monthly and weekly data using a large Bayesian VAR to produce weekly GDP estimates. In the second application, we extract latent factors from unbalanced datasets involving over a hundred monthly variables via a dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2023. Vol. 236, no 1, article id 105468
Keywords [en]
Mixed-frequency, Unbalanced panel, Vector autoregression, Dynamic factor model, Stochastic volatility
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-106470DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2023.05.005ISI: 001032909000001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85161974487OAI: oai:DiVA.org:oru-106470DiVA, id: diva2:1771994
Available from: 2023-06-21 Created: 2023-06-21 Last updated: 2023-08-18Bibliographically approved

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Poon, Aubrey

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