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Services in the India-EU free trade agreement
Örebro University, Örebro University School of Business. Norwegian Institute of International Affairs (NUPI), Oslo, Norway; Council on Economic Policies, Zürich, Switzerland.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-5944-3768
2023 (English)In: International Economics, ISSN 2110-7017, Vol. 176, article id 100460Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This paper analyses the proposed free trade agreement (FTA) between EU and India focusing on services trade. Based on the text published by the European Union, it uses the OECD STRI simulator to calculate the preference margins implied by the agreement and next predicts the impact on services trade flows using a general equilibrium structural gravity analysis. I find that the preference margin on the Services Trade Restrictiveness Index (STRI) for Indian exports to the EU is between four and eight basis points depending on the sector, while for EU's exports to India the preference margin is between 10 and 35 basis points. The predicted effect is more than a doubling of EU services exports to India, while India's services exports to the EU would increase by about 50%. EU's trade with the rest of the world would not change much, while India's exports to the rest of the world would contract by about 3%. Real services output would not change much in the EU or India. Lifting trade restrictions in the telecommunications sector is the most important policy area for facilitating services trade. About half of the predicted export expansion is driven by reforms to domestic regulation.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2023. Vol. 176, article id 100460
Keywords [en]
EU, FTA, India, Services, Trade
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-110174DOI: 10.1016/j.inteco.2023.100460Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85174695761OAI: oai:DiVA.org:oru-110174DiVA, id: diva2:1818749
Funder
The Research Council of Norway, NRC 325996Available from: 2023-12-12 Created: 2023-12-12 Last updated: 2023-12-12Bibliographically approved

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Kyvik Nordås, Hildegunn

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  • apa
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