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Infrastructure investment planning under uncertainty
Örebro University, Swedish Business School at Örebro University.
2009 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

This dissertation is concerned with the planning processes in transportation and infrastructure investments and the aim is to improve risk assessment, risk valuation and risk management. Many of the results presented in this thesis are also applicable to a wider range of questions.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Örebro: Örebro universitet , 2009. , 33 p.
Series
Örebro Studies in Economics, ISSN 1651-8896 ; 17
Keyword [en]
Real options, Wavelets, Risk, Uncertainty, Investments, Growth, Benefit-cost analysis, Infrastructure, Transportation, Traffic safety, Fractional Brownian motion, Incomplete contracts, Monte-Carlo simulation, Long memory
National Category
Economics
Research subject
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-6618ISBN: 978-91-7668-671-3 (print)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:oru-6618DiVA: diva2:214440
Public defence
2009-05-28, Bio, Forumhuset, Örebro universitet, Örebro, 14:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2009-05-05 Created: 2009-05-05 Last updated: 2013-05-17Bibliographically approved
List of papers
1. The impact of real options on willingness to pay for mortality risk reductions
Open this publication in new window or tab >>The impact of real options on willingness to pay for mortality risk reductions
2009 (English)In: Journal of Health Economics, ISSN 0167-6296, Vol. 28, no 3, 563-569 p.Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Public investments are dynamic in nature, and decision making must account for the uncertainty, irreversibility and potential for future learning. In this paper we adapt the theory for investment under uncertainty for a public referendum setting and perform the first empirical test to show that estimates of the value of a statistical life (VSL) from stated preference surveys are highly dependent on the inclusion of the option value. Our results indicate an option value of a major economic magnitude. This implies that previously reported VSL estimates, used in societal benefit–cost analysis of health investments, are exaggerated.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Amsterdam: Elsevier, 2009
National Category
Economics
Research subject
Economics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-7801 (URN)10.1016/j.jhealeco.2009.01.002 (DOI)000266648500004 ()
Available from: 2009-09-02 Created: 2009-09-02 Last updated: 2014-11-25Bibliographically approved
2. Does infrastructure really cause growth?
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Does infrastructure really cause growth?
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
National Category
Economics
Research subject
Economics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-15437 (URN)
Available from: 2011-05-02 Created: 2011-05-02 Last updated: 2016-11-21Bibliographically approved
3. Multiscale risk measures for infrastructure investments
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Multiscale risk measures for infrastructure investments
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
National Category
Economics
Research subject
Economics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-15438 (URN)
Available from: 2011-05-02 Created: 2011-05-02 Last updated: 2016-11-21Bibliographically approved
4. Fatal connections: determinants of road accident risk and drunk driving in Sweden
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Fatal connections: determinants of road accident risk and drunk driving in Sweden
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
National Category
Economics
Research subject
Economics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-15439 (URN)
Available from: 2011-05-02 Created: 2011-05-02 Last updated: 2016-11-21Bibliographically approved
5. Real options in strategic and operational road planning decisions
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Real options in strategic and operational road planning decisions
(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
National Category
Economics
Research subject
Economics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-15440 (URN)
Available from: 2011-05-02 Created: 2011-05-02 Last updated: 2016-11-21Bibliographically approved

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Citation style
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