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  • 1.
    Coller, Maribeth
    et al.
    Asset Management Group, United States.
    Harrison, Glenn W.
    Department of Risk Management and Insurance and CEAR, Robinson College of Business, Georgia State University, Atlanta GA, United States.
    Rutström, Elisabet
    Robinson College of Business and Department of Economics, Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University, United States.
    Latent process heterogeneity in discounting behavior2012In: Oxford Economic Papers, ISSN 0030-7653, E-ISSN 1464-3812, Vol. 64, no 2, p. 375-391, article id gpr019Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    We show that observed choices in discounting experiments are consistent with roughly one-half of the subjects using exponential discounting and one-half using quasi-hyperbolic discounting. We characterize the latent data generating process using a mixture model which allows different subjects to behave consistently with each model. Our results have substantive implications for the assumptions made about discounting behavior, and also have significant methodological implications for the manner in which we evaluate alternative models when there may be complementary data generating processes.

  • 2.
    Garcia, Juan Angel
    et al.
    European Central Bank, Capital Markets and Financial Structure Division, DG-MP, Frankfurt am Main, Germany.
    Poon, Aubrey
    Department of Economics, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, UK.
    Inflation trends in Asia: implications for central banks2022In: Oxford Economic Papers, ISSN 0030-7653, E-ISSN 1464-3812, Vol. 74, no 3, p. 671-700Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    This article shows that trend inflation estimation offers crucial insights for the ana-lysis of inflation dynamics and long-term inflation expectations. Focusing on the 12 largest Asian economies, a sample comprising both advanced and emerging economies and different monetary policy regimes, we show that trend inflation analysis can help explain the different impact of the disinflationary shocks across countries. Among countries with inflation below target in recent years, in those with trend inflation low but constant (Australia, New Zealand) low inflation may be lasting, but temporary, while those in which trend inflation has declined (South Korea, Thailand) risk low inflation to become entrenched and a de-anchoring of expectations. Countries like India, Philippines, and Indonesia instead experienced a moderation in inflation and lower trend inflation, while others (China, Taiwan, Hong Kong SAR, Malaysia) were impacted very mildly. That diverse international evidence offers important insights for central banks worldwide.

  • 3.
    Harrison, Glenn W.
    et al.
    Department of Risk Management and Insurance, Robinson School of Business, Georgia State University, Center for the Economic Analysis of Risk, United States.
    Lau, Morten I.
    Department of Accounting and Finance, Durham University, Durham, United Kingdom.
    Rutström, Elisabet
    Dean's Behavioral Economics Laboratory, Robinson School of Business, and Department of Economics, Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University, United States.
    Tarazona-Gómez, Marcela
    Faculty of Social Sciences, University of East Anglia, and Oxford Policy Management, United Kingdom.
    Preferences over social risk2013In: Oxford Economic Papers, ISSN 0030-7653, E-ISSN 1464-3812, Vol. 65, no 1, p. 25-46, article id gps021Article in journal (Refereed)
    Abstract [en]

    We elicit individual preferences over social risk. We identify the extent to which these preferences are correlated with preferences over individual risk and the well-being of others. We examine these preferences in the context of laboratory experiments over small, anonymous groups, although the methodological issues extend to larger groups that form endogenously (e.g., families, committees, communities). Preferences over social risk can be closely approximated by individual risk attitudes when subjects have no information about the risk preferences of other group members. We find no evidence that subjects systematically reveal different risk attitudes in a social setting with no prior knowledge about the risk preferences of others compared to when they solely bear the consequences of the decision. However, we also find that subjects are significantly more risk averse when they know the risk preferences of other group members.

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