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Are payroll tax cuts absorbed by insiders? Evidence from the Swedish retail industry
Örebro universitet, Handelshögskolan vid Örebro Universitet. Institute of Retail Economics, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID-id: 0000-0003-3180-3722
2023 (Engelska)Ingår i: Applied Economics, ISSN 0003-6846, E-ISSN 1466-4283, Vol. 55, nr 23, s. 2694-2708Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Published
Abstract [en]

Payroll tax cuts are considered inefficient for increasing employment among outsiders because insiders will use their power to bargain for higher wages at the expense of outsiders' possibility of becoming employed. The extent to which insiders or outsiders reap the rewards of payroll tax cuts is a matter of debate, and previous literature has largely focused on the employment effects of outsiders. Using wage statistics of employees in the Swedish retail sector, we investigate the effects of a youth payroll tax cut in 2007 on insiders' wage earnings and the number of hours worked. In line with earlier studies, the results show that the payroll tax cut increased insiders' total wage earnings. However, only 21% of the increase in wage earnings resulted from higher bargained wages. 57% of the wage increase corresponds to a higher intensive margin of employment, and the rest was attributed to the number of hours worked by insiders with a higher hourly wage rate. Thus, there is little to suggest that insiders can absorb large amounts of payroll tax cuts in the form of higher bargained wages, even when a small number of workers hold the most bargaining power.

Ort, förlag, år, upplaga, sidor
Routledge, 2023. Vol. 55, nr 23, s. 2694-2708
Nyckelord [en]
Retail, labor market, wage, payroll tax, employment
Nationell ämneskategori
Nationalekonomi
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-100753DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2022.2104802ISI: 000835260600001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85135235002OAI: oai:DiVA.org:oru-100753DiVA, id: diva2:1689805
Forskningsfinansiär
Torsten Söderbergs stiftelseTillgänglig från: 2022-08-24 Skapad: 2022-08-24 Senast uppdaterad: 2023-06-08Bibliografiskt granskad
Ingår i avhandling
1. Toward more inclusive labor markets: A firm-level perspective on hiring outsiders
Öppna denna publikation i ny flik eller fönster >>Toward more inclusive labor markets: A firm-level perspective on hiring outsiders
2023 (Engelska)Doktorsavhandling, sammanläggning (Övrigt vetenskapligt)
Abstract [en]

This thesis contains five self-contained papers on firms’ hiring decisions regarding outsiders and how these decisions interact with insiders. Outsiders are broadly defined as people with a weak labor market position, e.g., unemployed, non-Western migrants or minimum-wage workers. Insiders are those who are securely employed.

In paper (1), we investigate what characterizes the firms that hire unemployed non-Western immigrants. The results show that firms active in the service industries are more likely to hire unemployed non-Western immigrants. However, this is a rare event, suggesting this sector is unlikely to ever be able to absorb more than a fraction of this outsider group under current labor market conditions.

In paper (2), we analyze whether labor cost reductions induce firms to hire outsiders in the retail industry. In this case, a Swedish youth payroll tax cut is used to determine if a reduction in firms’ labor costs increases their employment of minimum-wage retail workers. The results show that reduced labor costs incentivize firms to increase their employment of workers whose wages are close to negotiated minimum wages.

In paper (3), we investigate whether the gains from the abovementioned payroll tax cut have been absorbed in higher wages for insiders rather than increasing employment. The results show that while insiders saw their total earnings increase, the main reason for their earnings increase was that they worked more hours.

Finally, we explore whether firms’ hiring decisions regarding outsiders are related to their growth rate in papers (4) and (5). The results in paper (4) show that the fastest growing firms are more likely to hire outsiders. However, this finding does not hold when new firms are examined separately and over time. In contrast, the results in paper (5) indicate that high-growth new firms tend to recruit individuals with higher skills during their first three years of operation, suggesting that a firm’s time dimension and point in its lifecycle are important.

Ort, förlag, år, upplaga, sidor
Örebro: Örebro universitet, 2023. s. 22
Serie
Örebro Studies in Economics, ISSN 1651-8896 ; 47
Nyckelord
Labor costs, minimum wage, payroll tax, employment, immigrants, unemployment, high-growth firms
Nationell ämneskategori
Nationalekonomi
Identifikatorer
urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-103017 (URN)9789175294902 (ISBN)
Disputation
2023-03-16, Örebro universitet, Forumhuset, Hörsal F, Fakultetsgatan 1, Örebro, 13:00 (Svenska)
Opponent
Handledare
Tillgänglig från: 2023-01-11 Skapad: 2023-01-11 Senast uppdaterad: 2023-02-23Bibliografiskt granskad

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