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2022 (English)In: Evidence-Based Mental Health, ISSN 1362-0347, E-ISSN 1468-960X, Vol. 25, p. 185-190Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]
Background: Available prediction models ofcardiovascular diseases (CVDs) may not accuratelypredict outcomes among individuals initiatingpharmacological treatment for attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD).
Objective: To improve the predictive accuracyof traditional CVD risk factors for adults initiatingpharmacological treatment of ADHD, by consideringnovel CVD risk factors associated with ADHD (comorbidpsychiatric disorders, sociodemographic factors andpsychotropic medication).
Methods: The cohort composed of 24 186 adultsresiding in Sweden without previous CVDs, born between1932 and 1990, who started pharmacological treatmentof ADHD between 2008 and 2011, and were followedfor up to 2 years. CVDs were identified using diagnosesaccording to the International Classification of Diseases,and dispended medication prescriptions from Swedishnational registers. Cox proportional hazards regressionwas employed to derive the prediction model.
Findings: The developed model included eighttraditional and four novel CVD risk factors. Themodel showed acceptable overall discrimination (Cindex=0.72, 95% CI 0.70 to 0.74) and calibration(Brier score=0.008). The Integrated DiscriminationImprovement index showed a significant improvementafter adding novel risk factors (0.003 (95% CI 0.001 to0.007), p<0.001).
Conclusions: The inclusion of the novel CVD riskfactors may provide a better prediction of CVDs in thispopulation compared with traditional CVD predictorsonly, when the model is used with a continuous riskscore. External validation studies and studies assessingclinical impact of the model are warranted.
Clinical implications: Individuals initiatingpharmacological treatment of ADHD at higher risk ofdeveloping CVDs should be more closely monitored.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
BMJ Publishing Group Ltd, 2022
Keywords
Adult psychiatry
National Category
Psychiatry
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-101147 (URN)10.1136/ebmental-2022-300492 (DOI)000850850400001 ()36396339 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-85137784816 (Scopus ID)
Funder
Swedish Research Council, 2018-02599European Commission, 965381Karolinska Institute, Not applicableThe Swedish Brain Foundation, FO2021-0115Wellcome trust, 202836/Z/16/ZSwedish Society for Medical Research (SSMF), PD20-0036Swedish Research Council, 2018-02599European Commission, 965381Karolinska Institute, Not applicableThe Swedish Brain Foundation, FO2021-0115Wellcome trust, 202836/Z/16/ZSwedish Society for Medical Research (SSMF), PD20-0036EU, Horizon 2020, 754285
2022-09-082022-09-082023-08-18Bibliographically approved