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Emergency department length of stay and adverse outcomes before, during and after the Covid-19 pandemic: associations tested using register linkage
Örebro University, School of Medical Sciences. Faculty of Engineering and Health Sciences, Mälardalen University, Eskilstuna, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-6738-8615
School of Public Health and Community Medicine, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
School of Public Health and Community Medicine, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
School of Medical Sciences, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden; Division of Emergency Medicine, University of Toronto, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, ON, Canada.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-7740-9558
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(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
National Category
Surgery
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-128367OAI: oai:DiVA.org:oru-128367DiVA, id: diva2:2052485
Available from: 2026-04-13 Created: 2026-04-13 Last updated: 2026-04-13Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Emergency department flow: patterns, predictors and patient outcomes
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Emergency department flow: patterns, predictors and patient outcomes
2026 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Background: Emergency departments (EDs) must balance timely care, safety, and resource utilization. Emergency department length of stay (EDLOS) is widely used as a proxy for ED performance, yet it primarily reflects elapsed time whose clinical meaningfulness depends on patient case-mix and context. Aim: The overall aim was to develop a deeper understanding of patient flow in Swedish EDs, with particular focus on process determinants of EDLOS and on patient groups at greatest risk of poor outcomes. Methods: Four studies were undertaken. Study I was a concept analysis of “long EDLOS”. Study II was a retrospective observational study of 222,047 ED visits from two hospitals, estimating the impact of input-, throughput and output factors on EDLOS. Study III examined high‑frequency ED users (HEDU) at a university hospital (121,403 visits), assessing prevalence, costs, and process outcomes. Study IV linked national registries across 5,049,641 ED visits from 15 sites (2015–2023) to analyse associations between EDLOS and adverse outcomes. Results: Long EDLOS is often used as a proxy for other phenomena. Throughput processes were the dominant factors impacting EDLOS. HEDU comprised 6.1% of patients but accounted for 22.4% of visits and a disproportionate share of costs. In Study IV, absolute EDLOS displayed a non‑linear association with mortality, with elevated risk at very short stays. Patients with non‑specific complaints were vulnerable to extended EDLOS. Conclusions: EDLOS is a useful metric, but when dichotomized, blunt and imprecise. Patient flow in the ED is not necessarily a reflection of levels of crowding and access block. Deviations from the expected EDLOS — whether longer or shorter — better predict adverse out-comes than absolute duration, highlighting the need for contextualised patient-centred performance metrics.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Örebro: Örebro University, 2026. p. 87
Series
Örebro Studies in Medicine, ISSN 1652-4063 ; 352
Keywords
emergency department, patient flow, ED length of stay (EDLOS), frequent users, mortality, unplanned revisits, registry linkage
National Category
Surgery
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-127778 (URN)9789175297637 (ISBN)9789175297644 (ISBN)
Public defence
2026-05-08, Örebro universitet, Campus USÖ, Tidefeltsalen, Södra Grev Rosengatan 32, Örebro, 09:15 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2026-03-05 Created: 2026-03-05 Last updated: 2026-04-22Bibliographically approved

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Andersson, JonasCheng, IvyKurland, Lisa

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