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A test on the location of tangency portfolio for small sample size and singular covariance matrix
Örebro University, Örebro University School of Business. Department of Mathematics, National University of Kyiv-Mohyla Academy, Kyiv, Ukraine.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-5576-3756
Örebro University, Örebro University School of Business.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1395-9427
School of Business and Economics, Linnaeus University, Växjö, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0009-0007-4930-4274
2025 (English)In: Modern Stochastics: Theory and Applications, ISSN 2351-6046, Vol. 12, no 1, p. 43-59Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The test for the location of the tangency portfolio on the set of feasible portfolios is proposed when both the population and the sample covariance matrices of asset returns are singular. The particular case of investigation is when the number of observations, n, is smaller than the number of assets, k, in the portfolio, and the asset returns are i.i.d. normally distributed with singular covariance matrix Σ such that rank(Σ) = r < n < k + 1. The exact distribution of the test statistic is derived under both the null and alternative hypotheses. Furthermore, the high-dimensional asymptotic distribution of that test statistic is established when both the rank of the population covariance matrix and the sample size increase to infinity so that r/n → c ∈ (0, 1). Theoretical findings are completed by comparing the high-dimensional asymptotic test with an exact finite sample test in the numerical study. A good performance of the obtained results is documented. To get a better understanding of the developed theory, an empirical study with data on the returns on the stocks included in the S&P 500 index is provided.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
VTeX, Vilniaus Universitetas , 2025. Vol. 12, no 1, p. 43-59
Keywords [en]
Tangency portfolio, Hypothesis testing, Singular Wishart distribution, Singular covariance matrix, Moore–Penrose inverse, High-dimensional asymptotics
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics Economics
Research subject
Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-115338DOI: 10.15559/24-vmsta261ISI: 001398471100003Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85215781565OAI: oai:DiVA.org:oru-115338DiVA, id: diva2:1888576
Funder
Torsten Söderbergs stiftelseÖrebro UniversityKnowledge Foundation, 20220115
Note

Svitlana Drin acknowledges financial support from the Knowledge Foundation Grant “Forecasting for Supply Chain Management” (Dnr: 20220115). Stepan Mazur acknowledges financial support from the project “Improved Economic Policy and Forecasting with High-Frequency Data” (Dnr: E47/22) funded by the Torsten Söderbergs Foundation and the internal research grants at Örebro University.

Available from: 2024-08-13 Created: 2024-08-13 Last updated: 2025-01-31Bibliographically approved

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Drin, SvitlanaMazur, Stepan

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