To Örebro University

oru.seÖrebro University Publications
Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Stochastic modeling with time-inhomogeneous Jacobi diffusions: applications to bounded and seasonal environmental processes
Örebro University, Örebro University School of Business.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-1779-740X
2025 (English)In: Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment (Print), ISSN 1436-3240, E-ISSN 1436-3259, Vol. 39, no 1, p. 41-54Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In this paper we explore stochastic modeling of bounded processes in continuous time using time-inhomogeneous Jacobi diffusions. We present some basic general results and introduce a subclass of models with seasonal time variation. In the seasonal models we derive the conditional mean and variance in closed form and propose a strategy for estimation based on quasi maximum likelihood. An empirical application is carried out to daily time series data on relative humidity. Simulation methods are used to investigate properties of the resulting parameter estimators. The results show that the proposed seasonal Jacobi model gives a very satisfactory fit to data and that the estimation procedure works well.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer, 2025. Vol. 39, no 1, p. 41-54
Keywords [en]
Stochastic differential equations, Jacobi process, Diffusion, Seasonality, Environmental data, Relative humidity
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-118631DOI: 10.1007/s00477-024-02849-2ISI: 001380052800001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85212683888OAI: oai:DiVA.org:oru-118631DiVA, id: diva2:1929612
Funder
Örebro UniversityAvailable from: 2025-01-21 Created: 2025-01-21 Last updated: 2025-01-27Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

No full text in DiVA

Other links

Publisher's full textScopus

Authority records

Larsson, Karl

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Larsson, Karl
By organisation
Örebro University School of Business
In the same journal
Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment (Print)
Probability Theory and Statistics

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
urn-nbn
Total: 45 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf